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lines changed Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change @@ -82,16 +82,15 @@ In other words,
8282
8383If $P$ is a stochastic matrix, then so is the $k$-th power $P^k$ for all $k \in \mathbb N$.
8484
85- Checking this in {ref}` the last exercise <mc1_ex_3>` below.
85+ You are asked to check this in {ref}` an exercise <mc1_ex_3>` below.
8686
8787
8888### Markov chains
89+
8990Now we can introduce Markov chains.
9091
9192Before defining a Markov chain rigorously, we'll give some examples.
9293
93- (Among other things, defining a Markov chain will clarify a connection between ** stochastic matrices** and ** Markov chains** .)
94-
9594
9695(mc_eg2)=
9796#### Example 1
@@ -110,7 +109,7 @@ Here there are three **states**
110109* "mr" represents mild recession
111110* "sr" represents severe recession
112111
113- The arrows represent ** transition probabilities** over one month.
112+ The arrows represent transition probabilities over one month.
114113
115114For example, the arrow from mild recession to normal growth has 0.145 next to it.
116115
@@ -120,7 +119,7 @@ The arrow from normal growth back to normal growth tells us that there is a
12011997% probability of transitioning from normal growth to normal growth (staying
121120in the same state).
122121
123- Note that these are * conditional* probabilities --- the probability of
122+ Note that these are conditional probabilities --- the probability of
124123transitioning from one state to another (or staying at the same one) conditional on the
125124current state.
126125
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